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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • I share your broader view and cautious optimism. In fact I think that some of what we are seeing are death spasms of that white hegemony that used to lynch blacks at will. They lost their “hard” power long ago with the end of Jim Crow. And they have been losing their “soft” power ever since. Demographic trends point to white people in America eventually becoming a minority. Religion is also dying out. So much of what we see is a panic of a dying group that was once dominant. There is no way that’s ever going to be pretty, anywhere, at any time. But look at the trend behind it and it’s an encouraging one, even if the death spasms are incredibly difficult. TBH if the Democrats could just provide some real leadership into this future, America could flip into a totally different country, much like the liberal democracies of Europe (but way stronger) inside of 20 years. This is the reality that the old guard are scared shitless of, and why they are pulling out all the stops to go the other way.





  • There was a vociferous but somehow under the radar outcry about this back in 2018 and an incredibly simple solution was widely suggested: demonetize the video.

    However, the highly viewed video is a significant source of royalty revenue for Mr. Astley, which, as he well argued at the time in a series of tweets, is only just compensation for the way his image has been turned into a joke literally hundreds of millions of times now.

    Mr. Astley implored YT not to bow to pressure and demonetize the video. YT famously replied “don’t worry, we’re never going to give you up, never going to let you down.”





  • And while we’re at it, here are the NATO members or aspirants:

    Here’s a breakdown of the former USSR states that are now NATO members or are actively considering NATO membership:

    Former USSR States That Are NATO Members

    These countries joined NATO after gaining independence from the Soviet Union:

    1. Estonia

    • Joined NATO: 2004

    • Strong NATO ally with significant defense investments.

    2. Latvia

    • Joined NATO: 2004

    • Works closely with NATO on Baltic security.

    3. Lithuania

    • Joined NATO: 2004

    • Actively contributes to NATO missions.

    4. Poland

    • Although not a USSR republic, it was part of the Warsaw Pact (Soviet-aligned).

    • Joined NATO: 1999.

    Former USSR States Considering or Applying for NATO Membership

    1. Ukraine

    • Officially applied for NATO membership in 2022.

    • Has intensified cooperation with NATO since Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014.

    2. Georgia

    • Has declared aspirations to join NATO since 2008.

    • NATO has an ongoing partnership with Georgia, but membership has been delayed due to territorial disputes (Abkhazia and South Ossetia).

    3. Moldova (Debate, but no formal application)

    • While officially neutral, there are internal discussions about strengthening ties with NATO due to regional threats.

    • No formal application has been made yet.

    Key Context

    • NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia remains controversial, partly due to ongoing conflicts with Russia and territorial disputes.

    • Other former USSR states, like Belarus and the Central Asian countries, are either neutral or aligned with Russia.

    Let me know if you’d like a deeper dive into any of these countries!


  • That seemed like a good task for AI so here’s what got back:

    The former USSR (Union of Soviet Socialist Republics) included 15 republics, many of which became independent countries after its dissolution in 1991. Here’s a list of former Soviet states that are not NATO members or actively applying for NATO membership (as of now):

    1. Belarus

    • A close ally of Russia, with strong political, military, and economic ties to Moscow.

    • No indications of pursuing NATO membership.

    2. Moldova

    • Officially neutral according to its constitution.

    • While there is some public debate about closer ties with NATO, it has not formally applied for membership.

    3. Armenia

    • Member of the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO).

    • While cooperating with NATO on some levels, it is not pursuing membership.

    4. Azerbaijan

    • Maintains a policy of balanced diplomacy between Russia, NATO, and other powers.

    • No NATO membership aspirations have been officially declared.

    5. Uzbekistan

    • Pursues a policy of neutrality.

    • Not a member or applicant of NATO.

    6. Turkmenistan

    • Officially neutral (recognized by the UN in 1995).

    • No NATO ties or aspirations.

    7. Tajikistan

    • Member of the CSTO, closely aligned with Russia.

    • Not pursuing NATO membership.

    8. Kyrgyzstan

    • Also a member of the CSTO.

    • No active NATO membership aspirations.

    These countries generally maintain neutrality or align more closely with Russia and its sphere of influence, either through treaties like the CSTO or their foreign policies. Let me know if you’d like more specific information about any of them!