Overall, registered voters say they favor Mr. Trump over Mr. Biden in next year’s presidential election by two percentage points, 46 percent to 44 percent. The president’s job approval rating has slid to 37 percent, down two points from July.
But there is considerable uncertainty over whether disaffected voters will even vote. While it is still early, the race is flipped among the likely electorate, with Mr. Biden leading by two percentage points.
Full poll at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/12/19/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html
Full poll archived at https://web.archive.org/web/20231219184128/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/12/19/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html
People want one easy and clear villain; humans like simple choices. The problem is, it’s two easy and clear villains, one giving rise to the other, so people who are unfamiliar with existing in that gray area try to resolve that cognitive dissonance by picking a side and making excuses for their choice.